Headline: Dubai recorded 1,337 new physical commercial lease events during 15–21 September, broadly stable versus 1,363 the previous week.
Four-week volume
| Week | New physical commercial leases |
|---|---|
| 25–31 Aug | 1,139 |
| 1–7 Sep | 1,530 |
| 8–14 Sep | 1,363 |
| 15–21 Sep | 1,337 |
What was being leased?
This week's activity was dominated by offices and shops.
| Property subtype | Leases | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Office | 837 | 62.6% |
| Shop | 306 | 22.9% |
| Hotel | 101 | 7.6% |
| Warehouse | 47 | 3.5% |
| Showroom | 6 | 0.4% |
| Restaurant | 5 | 0.4% |
| Other | 35 | 2.6% |
Across all four weeks, offices accounted for 3,492 events and shops for 1,163. Only 19 restaurant events appeared in the same four-week period.
Most active commercial areas
| Area | 25–31 Aug | 1–7 Sep | 8–14 Sep | 15–21 Sep | 4-week avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business Bay | 56 | 113 | 110 | 118 | 99 |
| Hor Al Anz | 107 | 59 | 30 | 100 | 74 |
| Naif | 59 | 183 | 163 | 99 | 126 |
| Al Khabeesi | 150 | 277 | 182 | 77 | 172 |
| Muhaisanah Fourth | 19 | 46 | 32 | 66 | 41 |
| Al Thanyah Fifth | 35 | 44 | 45 | 53 | 44 |
| Al Warsan First | 23 | 42 | 44 | 53 | 41 |
| Al Mararr | 59 | 37 | 46 | 48 | 48 |
| Jabal Ali First | 44 | 39 | 39 | 43 | 41 |
| Burj Khalifa | 34 | 28 | 38 | 33 | 33 |
Persistent signals
- Business Bay has recorded more than 100 new physical commercial leases in each of the last three weeks: 113 → 110 → 118.
- Al Thanyah Fifth has shown a steady four-week increase: 35 → 44 → 45 → 53.
- Al Warsan First has also risen consistently: 23 → 42 → 44 → 53.
- Jabal Ali First has been unusually stable: 44 → 39 → 39 → 43.
Biggest movements this week
Up: Hor Al Anz 30 → 100 (+70); Muhaisanah Fourth 32 → 66 (+34); Dubai Investment Park First 11 → 28 (+17); Al Karama 19 → 31 (+12); Port Saeed 17 → 29 (+12).
Down: Al Khabeesi 182 → 77 (-105); Al Muteena 83 → 15 (-68); Naif 163 → 99 (-64).
With only four weeks of history, these are movements worth watching, not established trends.
Office leasing hotspots
Offices represented nearly two-thirds of this week's physical commercial activity.
| Area | New office leases |
|---|---|
| Business Bay | 102 |
| Hor Al Anz | 91 |
| Al Khabeesi | 75 |
| Muhaisanah Fourth | 66 |
| Naif | 66 |
| Al Thanyah Fifth | 47 |
| Al Mararr | 34 |
| Saih Shuaib 2 | 27 |
Business Bay is the most notable persistent office market in the early sample: 50 → 102 → 93 → 102.
Shop / retail hotspots
| Area | New shop leases |
|---|---|
| Al Warsan First | 49 |
| Naif | 31 |
| Al Suq Al Kabeer | 13 |
| Al Mararr | 12 |
| Marsa Dubai | 12 |
| Al Karama | 10 |
| Hor Al Anz | 9 |
| Al Merkadh | 8 |
Al Warsan First has risen every week in the sample: 23 → 41 → 40 → 49 new shop registrations.
Warehouse leasing hotspots
| Area | New warehouse leases |
|---|---|
| Dubai Investment Park First | 12 |
| Dubai Investment Park Second | 10 |
| Ras Al Khor Industrial Third | 4 |
| Al Goze Industrial First | 3 |
| Ras Al Khor Industrial Second | 3 |
The four-week data suggests that Dubai Investment Park is the clearest warehouse-leasing cluster in the sample.
A small residential side signal
Residential new-lease volume is much larger than commercial volume. This week we observed 6,896 new single-property residential Unit/Villa lease events, versus 6,671 the previous week.
| Area | 25–31 Aug | 1–7 Sep | 8–14 Sep | 15–21 Sep |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Barsha South Fourth | 615 | 564 | 565 | 565 |
| Marsa Dubai | 372 | 401 | 375 | 423 |
| Business Bay | 374 | 352 | 373 | 419 |
| Al Merkadh | 314 | 305 | 311 | 290 |
| Jabal Ali First | 266 | 247 | 252 | 275 |
This is being kept separate from the commercial report for now, but it could eventually support occupancy, mover and handover signals.
Methodology and limitations
This analysis uses Dubai Land Department rent-registration exports collected weekly.
VERSION_EN = NewUSAGE_EN = CommercialPROP_TYPE_EN = UnitTOTAL_PROPERTIES = 1
Virtual-unit and multi-property registrations are excluded. Because the public rent export does not expose a stable contract ID, rows that are identical across lease fields but differ only in project attribution are treated as one lease event. Area-level analysis is therefore more reliable than project-level attribution.
Four weeks is enough to produce a useful pulse, but not enough to label movements as seasonal or structural trends.